Bitcoin's Price Forecast: Can BTC Surge by $12K in 2024?

The world of cryptocurrency is abuzz with speculations and predictions, especially concerning Bitcoin's future value. A recent forecast by Matrixport, a prominent crypto financial services firm, has particularly garnered attention. They project that Bitcoin (BTC) could potentially reach a staggering $125,000 by the end of 2024, following its fourth halving event​​​​​​​​.

Understanding the Halving Phenomenon

To comprehend the basis of this prediction, one must understand the concept of Bitcoin halving. It is a built-in feature of Bitcoin that halves the reward for mining new blocks, thereby reducing the rate at which new bitcoins are generated. This event occurs approximately every four years and is seen as a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency. It essentially decreases the supply of new bitcoins, which, according to traditional economic theory, could lead to an increase in price if demand remains constant or increases.

Historical Trends and Predictions

Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to increase in value in the period leading up to a halving event. However, there is no consistent trend immediately after the halving. Despite these short-term uncertainties, Bitcoin has recorded a new all-time high in each four-year period between halvings, suggesting a positive long-term performance​​.

CoinCodex, another source delving into Bitcoin price predictions, supports this optimistic view. They forecast a nearly +50% increase in Bitcoin's price one month after the April 2024 halving, reaching approximately $70,200. This rally is expected to continue over the year, potentially leading to a new all-time high at around $175,000. Looking even further ahead, their algorithm suggests a peak above $170,000 in August 2025, before stabilizing in the $95,000-$100,000 range​​​​.

Matrixport's Bold Prediction

Matrixport's bold prediction of $125,000 hinges on the historical impact of halving events on Bitcoin's price and the general market anticipation of these events. Given the cyclical nature of Bitcoin's price movements around halving events and the long-term trend of reaching new all-time highs post-halving, their forecast aligns with the broader expectation of a significant price rally.