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AAVE Price Prediction: Targets $190-195 by February 2026

Peter Zhang   Jan 26, 2026 17:33 0 Min Read


AAVE shows potential recovery toward analyst targets of $190-195 by February 2026, despite current bearish momentum at $152.11.

AAVE Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $160-165 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $190-$195 range
• Bullish breakout level: $160.21 • Critical support: $141.47

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Aave

Recent analyst coverage suggests optimistic targets for AAVE despite current consolidation. Felix Pinkston noted on January 16, 2026, that "AAVE shows bullish potential toward $190-195 range by February 2026, with current price at $173.76 offering entry opportunity despite neutral RSI and bearish MACD momentum."

Peter Zhang provided more specific targets on January 17, 2026, stating: "AAVE Price Prediction Summary: Short-term target (1 week): $182-184; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $190-195 range; Bullish breakout level: $184.75; Critical support: $164.51."

James Ding reinforced this outlook on January 20, 2026, observing that "Aave trades at $161 with analyst targets of $190-195 by February 2026. Technical indicators show neutral RSI at 43.83 but bearish MACD momentum creates mixed outlook."

The consensus among these analysts points to significant upside potential for AAVE, with the $190-195 range serving as a key target zone for February 2026.

AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown

AAVE is currently trading at $152.11, showing a modest 1.58% gain over the past 24 hours. The technical picture presents mixed signals that investors should carefully consider.

The RSI reading of 40.84 places AAVE in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This neutral positioning could indicate potential for movement in either direction pending catalyst confirmation.

MACD momentum indicators show concerning bearish divergence, with the MACD histogram at 0.0000 and both MACD lines converging at -3.9947. This suggests weakening bullish momentum in the near term.

Bollinger Band analysis reveals AAVE trading near the lower band support at $147.57, with a %B position of 0.1344. This positioning often indicates oversold conditions and potential for mean reversion toward the middle band at $164.46.

Moving averages paint a bearish picture across multiple timeframes. AAVE trades below its 7-day SMA ($154.77), 20-day SMA ($164.46), 50-day SMA ($168.35), and significantly below its 200-day SMA ($238.11), indicating a sustained downtrend from higher levels.

Key resistance levels to watch include immediate resistance at $156.16 and strong resistance at $160.21. On the downside, immediate support sits at $146.79, with critical support at $141.47.

Aave Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In the bullish case for this AAVE price prediction, a break above the strong resistance level at $160.21 could trigger momentum toward the analyst targets. The first upside target would be the 20-day SMA at $164.46, followed by the 50-day SMA at $168.35.

If buying pressure intensifies, AAVE could test the upper Bollinger Band at $181.34, aligning with the short-term analyst targets in the $182-184 range. Ultimate bullish targets remain in the $190-195 zone identified by multiple analysts for February 2026.

Technical confirmation for the bullish scenario would require RSI moving above 50 and MACD histogram turning positive, indicating renewed buying momentum.

Bearish Scenario

The bearish case for this Aave forecast centers on the failure to hold current support levels. A breakdown below immediate support at $146.79 could accelerate selling toward the critical support at $141.47.

Extended weakness could see AAVE test the lower Bollinger Band at $147.57 and potentially move toward psychological support levels around $130-135. The persistent trading below key moving averages reinforces this downside risk.

Risk factors include continued DeFi sector weakness, regulatory uncertainty, and broader crypto market volatility that could pressure AAVE regardless of fundamental strength.

Should You Buy AAVE? Entry Strategy

For investors considering AAVE positions, the current technical setup suggests a cautious approach. The ideal entry point would be near the strong support at $141.47, offering attractive risk-reward ratio toward the analyst targets.

More aggressive traders might consider entries on any bounce above $156.16, confirming short-term strength. However, this approach carries higher risk given the bearish MACD momentum.

Risk management should include stop-losses below $135 to limit downside exposure. Position sizing should reflect the high volatility indicated by the 14-day ATR of $8.79.

Given the mixed technical signals, investors might consider dollar-cost averaging into positions rather than single large entries, allowing for better average pricing if volatility continues.

Conclusion

This AAVE price prediction suggests cautious optimism based on analyst targets, despite current technical headwinds. The convergence of multiple analyst forecasts around $190-195 for February 2026 provides a clear upside target, representing potential gains of 25-30% from current levels.

However, the bearish MACD momentum and positioning below key moving averages warrant careful risk management. Investors should monitor the critical $160.21 resistance level as a key catalyst for the bullish scenario.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are highly speculative and subject to extreme volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.


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