TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 Recovery by February 2026

Excerpt: Toncoin shows oversold conditions at $1.53 with analysts targeting $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026. Technical indicators suggest potential bounce from current support levels.

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.57-$1.67
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.67 (SMA 20 resistance) • Critical support: $1.46 (strong support level)

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

Recent analyst predictions show optimism for Toncoin's recovery potential. Tony Kim released two consecutive reports on January 23-24, 2026, both targeting a "$2.00-$2.40 recovery by February 2026" amid what he describes as "oversold recovery" conditions. CoinCodex had earlier projected Toncoin reaching "$2.05 by January 24, 2026," though the token currently trades below this target at $1.53.

The convergence of these Toncoin forecasts around the $2.00-$2.40 range suggests analysts see significant upside potential from current levels, representing potential gains of 31-57% if these targets materialize.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

Toncoin's current technical setup presents a mixed picture with oversold conditions creating potential for a relief rally. The RSI reading of 38.44 sits in neutral territory but approaching oversold levels, while the MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum has stalled.

The Bollinger Bands analysis reveals TON trading near the lower band with a %B position of 0.19, suggesting the token is oversold and potentially due for a bounce toward the middle band at $1.67. This aligns with the SMA 20 resistance level, making it a critical short-term target.

Volume remains moderate at $6.76 million on Binance, while the Average True Range of $0.08 indicates manageable volatility for potential position entries. The token trades below all major moving averages except the 7-day SMA, highlighting the prevailing downtrend that needs reversal.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

A successful TON price prediction upside scenario targets the $2.00-$2.40 range by February. The immediate resistance at $1.55-$1.57 must break first, followed by reclaiming the 20-day SMA at $1.67. A sustained move above this level could target the 50-day SMA at $1.64, then push toward the analyst targets.

Key bullish confirmation would come from RSI breaking above 50 and MACD turning positive, coupled with increased volume above $10 million daily. The ultimate target remains the 200-day SMA at $2.41, which aligns perfectly with analyst projections.

Bearish Scenario

Failure to hold current support levels could see Toncoin testing the strong support at $1.46. A breakdown below this level might trigger further selling toward psychological support around $1.30-$1.35. The bearish case gains strength if RSI drops below 30 and volume increases on red candles.

Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, regulatory concerns affecting the TON ecosystem, or failure to achieve the technical bounce from current oversold conditions.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical levels, potential entry points for TON include the current range of $1.48-$1.53, with a more conservative entry near strong support at $1.46. A breakout entry above $1.57 resistance could offer better risk-reward for momentum traders.

Stop-loss levels should be placed below $1.44 (lower Bollinger Band) for aggressive entries, or below $1.40 for conservative positions. Target profits at $1.67 for short-term trades, with extended targets at $2.00-$2.40 for medium-term holdings based on analyst forecasts.

Position sizing should account for TON's volatility, with maximum 2-3% portfolio allocation given the speculative nature of this Toncoin forecast.

Conclusion

The TON price prediction consensus points toward a potential recovery to $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026, supported by oversold technical conditions and analyst targets. However, immediate resistance at $1.57-$1.67 must be overcome to validate this bullish Toncoin forecast.

Current risk-reward appears favorable for patient investors, though cryptocurrency predictions remain highly speculative. Always conduct independent research and never invest more than you can afford to lose in volatile digital assets.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.