TON Price Prediction: Toncoin Targets $1.51 Recovery by March 2026

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.43 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.26-$1.51 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.51 • Critical support: $1.26

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

While specific analyst predictions from major crypto influencers are limited in recent days, blockchain analysts have provided measured outlooks for Toncoin's near-term trajectory.

James Ding noted on February 2, 2026: "Toncoin trades at $1.38 with oversold RSI at 32.87. Multiple analysts target $2.00-$2.40 recovery by February 2026 as TON approaches critical support levels."

Luisa Crawford provided an updated assessment on February 7, 2026: "TON Price Prediction Summary: Short-term target (1 week): $1.43; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.26-$1.51 range; Bullish breakout level: $1.51; Critical support: $1.26."

According to on-chain data from major analytics platforms, Toncoin's current positioning suggests the token is testing crucial support zones that could determine its next directional move.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

Toncoin currently trades at $1.38, representing a modest 0.43% decline over the past 24 hours. The technical picture presents a mixed but potentially constructive setup for the TON price prediction.

The RSI reading of 41.21 places Toncoin in neutral territory, having recovered from the oversold conditions noted by analysts earlier this month. This suggests selling pressure may be moderating, though momentum remains subdued.

Moving averages paint a bearish intermediate-term picture, with TON trading below its 20-day SMA ($1.44), 50-day SMA ($1.59), and significantly below its 200-day SMA ($2.29). However, the price remains close to its 7-day SMA of $1.38, indicating potential short-term stabilization.

The MACD histogram sits at 0.0000, signaling neutral momentum after recent bearish divergence. This could indicate that selling pressure is exhausting itself near current levels.

Bollinger Bands analysis shows TON positioned at 0.32 within the bands, closer to the lower band ($1.28) than the upper band ($1.61). This positioning often precedes mean reversion moves toward the middle band at $1.44.

Key resistance levels emerge at $1.42 (immediate) and $1.45 (strong), while support levels sit at $1.36 (immediate) and $1.34 (strong). The daily ATR of $0.10 suggests moderate volatility, providing reasonable risk-reward setups for traders.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

The Toncoin forecast points to upside potential if TON can reclaim the $1.42-$1.45 resistance zone. A decisive break above $1.45 could trigger momentum toward the Bollinger Band middle line at $1.44, followed by a test of the upper band near $1.61.

Technical confirmation would require RSI moving above 50 and MACD histogram turning positive. Volume expansion above the recent average of $6 million would support bullish momentum.

The ultimate bullish target aligns with analyst projections of $1.51, representing a potential 9.4% upside from current levels. A sustained move above this level could open the door to the $2.00-$2.40 range mentioned in earlier analyst reports.

Bearish Scenario

The bear case for this TON price prediction centers on the breakdown below $1.34 support. Such a move would likely target the Bollinger Band lower boundary near $1.28, aligning with the critical support level identified by analysts.

A deeper correction could see Toncoin test the psychological $1.20 level, representing approximately 13% downside risk from current levels. The bearish scenario would be confirmed by RSI falling below 30 and increased selling volume.

Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, reduced adoption of TON ecosystem projects, and potential regulatory headwinds affecting the broader altcoin market.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical levels, a layered approach appears prudent for TON accumulation. Primary entry opportunities exist in the $1.34-$1.36 support zone, offering favorable risk-reward ratios.

Conservative traders might wait for a breakout above $1.45 with volume confirmation before establishing positions. This approach sacrifices some upside potential but reduces downside risk.

Stop-loss levels should be placed below $1.26, the critical support identified in recent analysis. This represents approximately 8.7% risk from current levels while allowing room for normal market fluctuations.

Position sizing should account for TON's moderate volatility, with the daily ATR of $0.10 suggesting potential 7% daily moves in either direction.

Conclusion

This Toncoin forecast suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for TON over the coming month, with the $1.26-$1.51 range likely to contain most price action. The technical setup favors patient accumulation near support levels, with initial targets around $1.43-$1.51.

However, investors should remember that cryptocurrency price predictions carry inherent uncertainty. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Risk management and position sizing remain crucial for successful TON trading strategies.

Disclaimer: This TON price prediction is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and investors should conduct their own research before making trading decisions.