France, Morocco reach quarters as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 40% for Israel PM

World Cup 2026 Day 24 Recap: France and Morocco Advance as Polymarket’s Israel PM Odds Tick Up

Highlights and reaction from the FIFA World Cup 2026 in North America dominated sports coverage on July 5, with France and Morocco advancing to the quarterfinals. On Polymarket, the "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" contract still shows Gadi Eizenkot leading, ticking up to 40.2%.

Key Takeaways

Gadi Eizenkot leads Polymarket to be Israel’s next prime minister after the next election at 40.2% implied odds.
Traders slightly raised Eizenkot’s pricing, with the lead moving up 1.1 percentage points from 39.1%.
The contract is set to resolve by 2026-12-31, and the market’s 24-hour change is +2.05 percentage points.

Video coverage of World Cup Day 24 from the FIFA World Cup 2026 in North America focused on match highlights, reaction, and previews. The segment ran 12 minutes and 03 seconds. The update said France and Morocco advanced to the quarterfinals. It was published on July 5, 2026. The package was presented as a recap-style video item with social sharing prompts.

Israel Next Prime Minister Market: $25.78M Volume as Eizenkot Leads at 40.2% vs Netanyahu 36.5%

Polymarket volume in the "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" market stood at $25,781,134, with Gadi Eizenkot the top-priced outcome at 40.2% Yes / 59.8% No. Benjamin Netanyahu followed at 36.5% Yes / 63.5% No, indicating a relatively tight two-way front of the book versus the field. Naftali Bennett was priced at 13.0% Yes / 87.0% No, while longer shots such as Avigdor Lieberman traded at 3.6% Yes / 96.4% No. The spread between the top two outcomes suggests traders are concentrating probability on a narrow set of contenders while assigning low odds to most alternatives into the 2026-12-31 resolution window.

Watch whether the gap between Eizenkot (40.2%) and Netanyahu (36.5%) widens or compresses, and whether volume continues to cluster in the top two outcomes as the resolution date approaches.

Beyond the World Cup: Other High-Volume Geopolitical and Macro Contracts Polymarket Traders Are Watching

Beyond the leadership race, traders are also concentrating liquidity in faster-moving geopolitical and macro questions across the platform, where odds can reprice on headlines. One of the biggest active contracts is 99.95% on “Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?” with $3,307,022 in volume, underscoring how decisively the market is leaning even as incremental shifts continue to draw attention.

Odds Trend

Window	Change (pp)
24h	+2.0
7d	+2.0

By the Numbers

Platform: Polymarket
Market: Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Contract type: Price strike ladder: each rung has separate Yes/No; Yes means the spot price is above that USD strike at settlement.
Resolution window: Dec 31, 2026 (UTC)
Status: Active (open for trading)
Volume: ~$25,781,134

Top strike rungs

Strike	Yes	No
Gadi Eizenkot	40.2%	59.8%
Benjamin Netanyahu	36.5%	63.5%
Naftali Bennett	13.0%	87.0%
Avigdor Lieberman	3.6%	96.4%

+14 more strikes not shown