FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve System is the central bank of the United States. "The Federal Reserve System was created on December 23, 1913, when President Woodrow Wilson signed the Federal Reserve Act into law." Federal Reserve has control over monetary policy exclusively for the benefit of the United States. Typical monetary functions are money issuance, money price, interest rate, and more. Since the US Dollar has served as the de facto world currency. Federal Reserve has inevitable influences on the stability of the monetary and financial system and monetary policies of other countries.
Polymarket prices 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 on $44.6M volume
A Rabobank note circulated this week warning elevated European natural-gas prices could persist, shaping inflation and policy-rate expectations.
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yields
A recent report pointed to surging oil prices and rising global bond yields, reviving inflation worries ahead of the Fed’s September meeting.
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volume
After hotter-than-expected inflation, the New Zealand Dollar stalled, reinforcing a “higher for longer” tone in global rate chatter.
Polymarket odds lift to 85% for zero Fed cuts in 2026 ahead of meeting
August gold futures opened near $4,013 and later traded around $4,063 as investors looked to Wednesday’s Fed rate decision amid Middle East conflict and inflation worries.
Polymarket odds price Fed hold at 85% for July as oil risk reshapes outlook
A July 22, 2026 BNY note warned oil risk could cap the Indian rupee’s carry appeal, a macro signal that can shape views on how restrictive policy stays into the Fed’s July meeting.
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or market
A research note said the Hungarian forint’s rally against the euro is being reassessed after rate cuts, underscoring how quickly expectations can shift.
Polymarket odds jump to 85% for July Fed hold as UK CPI focus cools hikes
Ahead of the next UK CPI release, a new report argued the data could ease pressure for further Bank of England rate hikes, showing how inflation prints can quickly reshape policy expectations.
Polymarket prices Sept Fed 25 bps hike at 49.5% after 16-point slide
In a televised interview, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong urged Congress to pass the Clarity Act this year and warned about the downside if it stalls.
Polymarket odds for July Fed hold jump to 93% after Bitcoin tops $65K
Bitcoin climbed above $65,000 as broader market sentiment turned risk-on, with VIRTUAL and UNI holding gains.
Polymarket odds imply no Fed cuts in 2026 at 85% after AI risk-off note
A technical-analysis note said the AI trade’s bounce may be a head fake after a nearly 19% pullback in an AI-themed ETF, with weekly momentum turning bearish and more downside possible.