FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve System is the central bank of the United States. "The Federal Reserve System was created on December 23, 1913, when President Woodrow Wilson signed the Federal Reserve Act into law." Federal Reserve has control over monetary policy exclusively for the benefit of the United States. Typical monetary functions are money issuance, money price, interest rate, and more. Since the US Dollar has served as the de facto world currency. Federal Reserve has inevitable influences on the stability of the monetary and financial system and monetary policies of other countries.
Hormuz reopening cools oil shock as Polymarket no-cut 2026 Fed odds dip
Oil prices have slid since the Strait of Hormuz reopened, easing an energy-driven inflation threat as focus shifts to whether surging AI data-center and chip spending could add new price pressure.
Bitcoin stays above $60K as Polymarket puts July Fed hold odds at 80.5%
Bitcoin held above $60,000 as scrutiny grew over Strategy’s credit-sensitive funding model and what it could mean for crypto risk appetite if conditions tighten.
S&P reaffirms US AA+ as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 80.5%
On June 27, 2026, S&P affirmed the United States’ AA+ sovereign credit rating and kept its outlook stable.
Euro holds amid Middle East risk as Polymarket hikes July Fed hold odds to 81.5%
In recent trading, the euro stayed steady versus the U.S. dollar as investors tracked Middle East tensions and shifting expectations for the Fed’s next move.
May inflation hits 4.1% as Polymarket sees 79% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026
After the Fed held rates steady last week, some Trump advisers signaled more patience with Chair Kevin Warsh even as inflation hit 4.1% in May.
Bitcoin slips under $60K as Polymarket pegs 80% odds of 0 Fed cuts in 2026
A broad selloff pushed Bitcoin below $60,000, wiping out about $1 billion as losses spread across major tokens.
Inflation gauge hits 3-year high as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 77.5%
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge climbed to a new three-year high, keeping pressure on policymakers and muddying the near-term rate outlook.
PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%
A live update on the PCE inflation report kept investors focused on the price backdrop shaping Federal Reserve policy expectations.
Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cuts
A new opinion piece says inflation risks extend beyond oil, pointing to two less obvious forces that could keep prices sticky and even make the Fed weigh a hike instead of cuts.
Barclays sees USDHKD capped as Polymarket boosts July Fed hold odds to 75.5%
Barclays said USDHKD’s upside may be capped below 7.84 as rate differentials and policy expectations drive pricing.